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The week starts off with a bevy of unpleasant surprises for the markets and the economy but with maybe a hope of good news on the inflation front. “The decline in oil prices will feature prominently in explaining October's CPI and PPI reports. Core CPI likely slowed in October as well, with lower prices of new and used cars, lower airfares, and lower shelter costs all leaning the same way. PPI inflation likely moderated in October, too, with diesel prices following crude oil prices lower, albeit not by as much as gasoline. Powell’s comments were not anything new, but the timing seemed to suggest he was dampening down enthusiasm in the markets.

Persons: Moody’s, Mike Johnson, ”, Bob Doll, Republican Sen, Tim Scott of, David Cameron, Rishi Sunak, Stocks, Bill Adams, Waran Bhahirethan, ” Adams, Jerome Powell spooked, ” Powell, Oliver Rust, Sam Bullard, ” Bullard Organizations: U.S, AAA, Louisiana Republican, GOP, Senate, Crossmark Global Investments, Republican, Tim Scott of South Carolina, Conservative, Analysts, Comerica Bank, PPI, CPI, Federal Reserve, International Monetary Fund, Central Bank, “, Wells Locations: U.S, Louisiana, Tim Scott of South, London, Iraq, Syria, Gaza City, September’s, Israel, Washington

☆ Buy these 15 stocks to mimic a strategy that's crushed the S&P 500 since 2008 and has more than doubled its returns in the last 12 months
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Stocks have rallied this week as optimism builds about earnings and interest rates. Strategists at BMO Capital Markets see the gains continuing through year-end. US stocks can continue their winning streak through the end of 2023, according to BMO Capital Markets. As expected, the Federal Reserve declined to raise interest rates at its November 1 meeting. Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that higher long-term interest rates set by the market made another hike unnecessary, as Bill Adams, Comerica Bank's economy chief, recently noted.

Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, Bill Adams Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, Federal Reserve, Comerica

☆ US consumer confidence dropped for third consecutive month despite the booming economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

For the third month in a row, the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index fell — dropping to 102.6 in October from an upwardly revised 104.3 in September. The decline in consumer confidence was not evident across all age groups and household income levels. People above the age of 55 exhibited the biggest monthly decline in consumer confidence. Meanwhile, consumers with a household income between $25,000 to $35,000 saw the biggest decline in confidence about the economy over the past month. In contrast, consumers with a household income between $100,000 to $125,000 saw the biggest jump in confidence over the past month.

Persons: ” Dana Peterson, “ Consumers, ”, Bill Adams, ” Peterson, Jeffrey Roach Organizations: New, New York CNN, Conference, Board, Conference Board, “, Big Three, United Auto Workers, Comerica Bank, LPL Financial, Federal Locations: New York, Israel

☆ US new home sales jump to 19-month high; median price falls
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-25 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The larger-than-expected increase in sales last month reported by the Commerce Department on Wednesday showed that the new housing market continued to be supported by a chronic shortage of previously owned houses. That is leading to very different dynamics in different parts of the housing market." New home sales are counted at the signing of a contract, making them a leading indicator of the housing market. The National Association of Home Builders reported last week that about a third of builders reported cutting home prices in October, a 10-month high, with the average price discount at 6%. The housing market likely stabilized in the third quarter, thanks to strong homebuilding and new home sales.

Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Bill Adams, resales, Freddie Mac, Dan Hnatkovskyy, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Commerce Department, Comerica Bank, Reuters, Midwest ., National Association of Home Builders, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, WASHINGTON, Dallas, Northeast, West, Midwest

☆ Regional bank shares slump as lenders warn of more pain from higher interest rates
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-20 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Regional banks suffered a steep sell-off Friday after a number of weak quarterly earnings reports highlighting the negative impact from higher interest rates soured investor sentiment toward the industry. Regions Financial, a Birmingham, Alabama-based lender, posted a 6.5% decline in net interest income compared with the previous quarter. NII is the difference between interest banks earn on loans and what they pay out on deposits. As interest rates rise, lenders are pressured to pay more to keep depositors. Higher rates could lead to more losses on banks' bond portfolios and contribute to funding pressures as institutions are forced to pay higher rates for deposits.

Organizations: Comerica Bank, Regions, Federal, Comerica, Third Bancorp, CNBC Locations: Torrance , California, Birmingham , Alabama, NII, Dallas, Cincinnati

☆ US retail sales rose in September for the sixth-straight month
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Retail sales, which are adjusted for seasonality but not inflation, grew 0.7% in September from the prior month. Factoring in September’s 0.4% rise in consumer prices, inflation-adjusted retail sales were up 0.3% last month. From a year earlier, retail sales and food services spending were up 3.8% in September, the strongest annual gain since February. Spending grew across most categories last month, with sales at specialty stores advancing the most, by 3%. Excluding sales at gasoline stations, retail sales still advanced 0.7% last month.

Persons: ”, BIll Adams, ’, Adams, US Energy Information Administration “, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Brian Field, Gregory Daco, ” Daco, Joe Biden, Jordan Organizations: DC CNN, Comerica Bank, headwinds, UAW, United Auto Workers, US Energy Information Administration, Hamas, University of, San Francisco Fed, “ Retail, CNN, Employers, Sensormatic Solutions, Services, OPEC Locations: Washington, Israel, Iran

☆ US stocks rise as investors parse Fed minutes and await September inflation report
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Stocks inched higher Wednesday as investors read through the latest Fed minutes. Central bankers remained mostly hawkish on their approach to inflation at the last policy meeting. Central bankers signaled that they would continue to remain cautious on inflation at their last policy meeting, per the latest minutes. Around two-thirds of Fed members predicted one more rate hike before the end of 2023, according to the Fed's dot plot of interest rate expectations. Investors are now looking ahead to the September inflation report, due at 8:30 a.m. on Thursday.

Persons: —, Bill Adams, Adams Organizations: Service, Reserve, Nasdaq, UAW, Comerica Bank, Investors, Dow Jones Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Israel

☆ Coal makes a quiet resurgence in the clean energy era
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

CNN —As momentum shifts toward clean energy, coal has had some unexpected staying power. A new report by the International Energy Agency found that global coal demand hit an all-time high in 2022 amid the energy crisis, eclipsing the previous record set in 2013. For example, Panasonic built a new electric vehicle plant in Kansas to aid its transition to clean energy. Why it matters: Coal, the highest carbon emitting and dirtiest energy source, is the single biggest contributor to human-created climate change. The Hollywood writers’ strike is overThe Hollywood writers’ strike is finally over after 148 days.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, “, Dow tumbles, It’s, Stocks, Krystal Hur, ”, Bill Adams, Moody’s Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Commodities, Bloomberg, International Energy Agency, IEA, Panasonic, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Fed, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Comerica Bank, Government, Fitch, Hollywood, Writers Guild of America, WGA, SAG Locations: Ukraine, Europe, United States, Kansas

☆ Dow tumbles nearly 400 points, notching biggest one-day drop since March
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-26 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

New York CNN —Stocks tumbled Tuesday after a slew of economic data stoked fears about the US economy’s cloudy outlook and further interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 388 points, or 1.1%, its biggest one-day decline since March. The stock market remains in a bull market, however — it would need to fall 20% from its peak to enter bear territory. “The Fed will see the reacceleration of house prices as a reason to keep interest rates higher for longer,” said Bill Adams, chief economist at Comerica Bank. JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said Tuesday in an interview with the Times of India that he is preparing the bank’s clients for a 7% interest rate scenario, further spooking investors.

Persons: Stocks, ”, Bill Adams, paring, Brent, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, Moody’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Comerica Bank, Fed, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, West Texas, JPMorgan, Times, Fitch Locations: New York, Times of India

☆ The latest data signals the Fed will pause next week and keep future rate hikes on the table
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-15 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

That data indicates that the Federal Reserve is still likely to hold rates steady next week, some investors say. Inflation: US inflation climbed 3.7% in August from the prior year, marking an acceleration for the second consecutive month, according to the latest Consumer Price Index. Excluding the boost from gas station sales, retail spending added 0.2% in August from July. Traders see a roughly 97% chance that the central bank keeps rates unchanged in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. The central bank has now raised its main interest rate at 10 consecutive meetings, taking it to the highest level since the launch of the euro currency in 1999.

Persons: “, ”, Sam Millette, Price, Taylor Swift, Bill Adams, Jerome Powell, Liz Young, CNN’s Olesya, Michelle Toh ., Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Federal Reserve, Commonwealth Financial Network, National Federation of Independent Business, Comerica Bank, Traders, European Central Bank, Central Bank, ECB, Cornell University, Schroders, Fashion, Cornell’s Global Labor Institute Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Bangladesh, Pakistan, Vietnam, Cambodia, Schroders

☆ US unemployment rate rises, wage growth cools as labor market slows
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-01 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The labor market is slowing in response to the U.S. central bank's hefty rate hikes to cool demand in the economy. Leisure and hospitality payrolls increased by 40,000. Household employment increased by 222,000. As a result, the unemployment rate increased to 3.8%, the highest level since February 2022, from 3.5% in July. The labor force participation rate, or the proportion of working-age Americans who have a job or are looking for one, increased to 62.8%.

Persons: Elizabeth Frantz, Bill Adams, Nonfarm, Lucia Mutikani, Nick Zieminski, Chizu Nomiyama, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Employment, Comerica Bank, Reuters, Hollywood, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Arlington , Virginia, U.S, WASHINGTON, Dallas

☆ The US economy grew more slowly in the second quarter than previously estimated
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-30 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Washington, DC CNN —The US economy grew more slowly in the second quarter than previously estimated — a good sign for the Federal Reserve, which is attempting to cool demand to bring down price increases. Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of economic output, rose at an annualized rate of 2.1% in the second quarter, according to the Commerce Department’s second estimate, released Wednesday morning. The second estimate factored in greater consumer spending, government outlays and exports, compared with the initial estimate. Economic growth in the second quarter was mostly broad based, but there were some signs of weakened demand for goods purchases and imports. Consumer spending, which accounts for about 70% of economic output, was revised slightly higher in the second estimate.

Persons: ”, Bill Adams, Barbie, Taylor Swift, Jerome Powell, ” Powell, Biden, Lydia Boussour, “ Organizations: DC CNN, Federal Reserve, Gross, Commerce, Consumer, Comerica Bank, The Commerce Department, Kansas City, Atlanta Fed, Fed Locations: Washington, United States, Wells Fargo, EY

☆ S&P downgrades multiple US banks citing 'tough' operating conditions
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-22 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

S&P downgraded the ratings of Associated Banc-Corp (ASB.N) and Valley National Bancorp (VLY.O) on funding risks and a higher reliance on brokered deposits. It also downgraded UMB Financial Corp (UMBF.O), Comerica Bank (CMA.N) and Keycorp (KEY.N), citing large deposit outflows and prevailing higher interest rates. A sharp rise in interest rates is weighing on many U.S. banks' funding and liquidity, S&P said in a summarized note, adding that deposits held by Federal Deposit Insurance Corp (FDIC)-insured banks will continue to decline as long as the Federal Reserve is "quantitatively tightening." The rating agency also downgraded the outlook of S&T Bank and River City Bank to negative from stable on high commercial real estate (CRE) exposure among other factors. Reporting by Gokul Pisharody in Bengaluru; Additional reporting by Akanksha Khushi; Editing by Varun H KOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Moody's, Bank of New York Mellon BK.N, Gokul, Akanksha Khushi, Varun Organizations: Global, National Bancorp, UMB Financial Corp, Comerica Bank, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Federal, T Bank, City Bank, Bank of New York Mellon, US Bancorp, Truist, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Silicon, Bengaluru

☆ S&P downgrades multiple U.S. banks citing 'tough' operating conditions
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

S&P Global on Monday cut credit ratings and revised its outlook for multiple U.S. banks, following a similar move by Moody's, warning that funding risks and weaker profitability will likely test the sector's credit strength. S&P downgraded the ratings of Associated Banc-Corp and Valley National Bancorp on funding risks and a higher reliance on brokered deposits. It also downgraded UMB Financial Corp , Comerica Bank and Keycorp , citing large deposit outflows and prevailing higher interest rates. A sharp rise in interest rates is weighing on many U.S. banks' funding and liquidity, S&P said in a summarized note, adding that deposits held by Federal Deposit Insurance Corp-insured banks will continue to decline as long as the Federal Reserve is "quantitatively tightening." The rating agency also downgraded the outlook of S&T Bank and River City Bank to negative from stable on high commercial real estate exposure among other factors.

Persons: Moody's Organizations: Global, Corp, National Bancorp, UMB Financial Corp, Comerica Bank, Keycorp, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Federal, T Bank, City Bank, Bank of New York Mellon, US Bancorp, Truist, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank Locations: Silicon, U.S

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Rising yields couldn’t stifle excitement over Nvidia
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-22 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Tech rallied amid rising yieldsThe Nasdaq Composite rallied Monday, breaking a four-day losing streak, even as the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield hit 4.342%, a decades-long high. The index was lifted by SoftBank shares rising 1.57% on the news that its chip unit Arm has filed for a Nasdaq listing. "What seems to be clear is that food price volatility will continue in coming months," an analyst said.

Persons: Softbank Organizations: CNBC, Tech, Nasdaq, Treasury, Nikkei, P Global, Corp, National Bancorp, UMB Financial Corp, Comerica Bank, Keycorp, UBS Locations: Asia, Pacific, Asia Rice, India, Swiss

[1/3] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 24, 2023. Benchmark 10-year yields reached 4.312% in trading and tested October's 4.338%, before moving lower to 4.29%. Tighter credit conditions will eventually dampen economic activity and markets are choppy from the uncertainty," said Jeffrey Roach, chief economist for LPL Financial. Wall Street was mixed in the first half of the trading day before accelerating losses as the session ended. Brent crude was up over 1% earlier in the day before settling up 0.35% at $83.74 a barrel.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Yen, Jeffrey Roach, Bill Adams, Brent, Ankur Banerjee, Alun John, Anisha, Sonali Paul, Angus MacSwan, Chizu Nomiyama, Nick Macfie, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Federal, LPL Financial, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, U.S . Labor Department, Comerica Bank, Zhongzhi Enterprise Group, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, CHINA, China, China's, Singapore, London, Bengaluru

☆ US weekly jobless claims fall; tight labor market underpinning economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-17 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

The labor market is only slowing at the margin, with job gains in July being the second-smallest since December 2020. Labor market strength, excess savings accumulated during the COVID-19 pandemic and greater credit card usage to fund purchases have kept a recession at bay. Some economists saw the slight elevation as indicating a small margin of slack in the job market. The Philadelphia Fed’s business conditions index increased to a reading of 12.0 this month from -13.5 in July. A survey this week from the New York Fed showed business conditions in the “Empire State” remained depressed in August.

Persons: Shannon Stapleton, ”, Christopher Rupkey, Jerome Powell’s, Jeffrey Roach, Bill Adams, Daniel Silver Organizations: WASHINGTON, REUTERS, Federal, Labor Department, Reuters, Treasury, Conference, Labor, LPL Financial, Conference Board, Comerica Bank, Philadelphia Fed, New York Fed, JPMorgan Locations: New York City, U.S, New York, Ohio, California, Texas , Michigan , New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Charlotte , North Carolina, Dallas, New Jersey, Delaware, Philadelphia, “

☆ Strong services costs lift US producer prices; inflation expectations dip
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-11 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Some said the downgrade to June's data meant the rise in the PPI last month was in line with expectations. In the 12 months through July, the PPI increased 0.8% after gaining 0.2% in June, boosted by a lower base of comparison last year. Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the so-called core goods prices were unchanged last month after falling 0.2% in June. In the 12 months through July, the so-called core PPI increased 2.7%, matching June's rise. As with all the July inflation data, the pick-up in the annual core PCE rate is due to unfavorable base effects.

Persons: Bill Adams, Will Compernolle, Eugenio Aleman, Raymond James, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci, Paul Simao Organizations: PPI, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Comerica Bank, Reuters, Reuters Graphics, Treasury, Consumers, University of, CPI, Fed, Thomson Locations: August WASHINGTON, Dallas, U.S, New York, disinflation

☆ Following CPI report, the market has locked in on no more rate hikes from the Fed
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-10 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The market has its mind made up: July's tame inflation reading means no more interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. The "patience" reference goes to whether policymakers will be satisfied that inflation will come back to normal without any further rate increases, or if additional tightening is necessary. Following Thursday's release of the consumer price index , which showed a 12-month inflation rate of 3.2%, markets upped their bets that the Fed is staying put. The chance of any additional rate increases also declined, dropping to 27.3% for November and 24.1% for December, as of about 1:30 p.m. Thus, there was some caution from the CPI internals, and a stock market rally cooled Thursday afternoon as Wall Street digested the report.

Persons: Quincy Krosby, Bill Adams, Rick Rieder, Tom Lee, Bradley Saunders Organizations: Federal, LPL, of Labor Statistics, Fed, Comerica Bank, Market Committee, Capital Economics Locations: BlackRock

☆ US labor market resilient; productivity rebounds in second quarter
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-03 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

Other data from the Labor Department on Thursday showed a marked slowdown in labor costs in the second quarter, thanks to a sharp rebound in worker productivity. That added to reports last month showing a significant moderation in annual inflation in June as well as wage growth in the second quarter. Reuters GraphicsWorkers were more productive in the second quarter, which helped to curb growth in labor costs. Nonfarm productivity, which measures hourly output per worker, increased at a 3.7% annualized rate in the second quarter after declining at a 1.2% pace in the January-March quarter, the Labor Department said in a third report. Unit labor costs - the price of labor per single unit of output - rose at a 1.6% rate in the second quarter.

Persons: Andrew Kelly, Bill Adams, Nonfarm payrolls, Sarah House, Lucia Mutikani, Safiyah Riddle, Paul Simao, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, WASHINGTON, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Comerica Bank, Labor, The Institute for Supply Management, Treasury, Reuters, Reuters Graphics Workers, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S, Dallas, California, Ohio, Texas, Georgia, Missouri, Wells, Charlotte , North Carolina

☆ The US economy is surging
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-27 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Real gross domestic product, or real GDP, grew at an annualized rate of 2.4%. That advance estimate for the second quarter beat the 1.8% increase expected. A recent GDP preview from Gregory Daco, chief economist of EY, also highlighted strength in the US economy and what it may mean. "Still, the economy continues to face significant headwinds from persistently elevated prices and costs, tightening credit conditions and rising interest rates. That's also much higher than the 3.2% seen in the second quarter of 2022.

Persons: Bill Adams, Jerome Powell, Powell, Gregory Daco, Daco, That's Organizations: Service, BEA, Consumer, Federal Reserve, Comerica Bank's, Fed Locations: Wall, Silicon

☆ Regional bank yields have fallen but plenty are still paying more than 4%
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-21 | by ( Scott Schnipper | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Western Alliance Bancorporation of Phoenix left its dividend unchanged at 36 cents a share in May and yields 3%. As of Friday, the bank's common stock still yields 7.1%, albeit down from 8.5% as recently as May. Comerica Bank in Dallas pays a dividend equivalent to a 5.5% yield, down from 7.9% in May. The banks' yields have fallen as the stocks have recovered some of their losses from earlier in the year. To judge the safety of bank dividends, take a look at their dividend payout ratios , which measure the percentage of earnings paid out in dividends.

Persons: Janney Montgomery Scott, Janney, Daniel Cardenas, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: PacWest Bancorp, Western Alliance, Truist Financial Corp, Rhode, Financial, Valley Bank, First Republic Bank, Comerica Bank, Heritage Commerce, Northrim BanCorp, Financial of, National Bancorp of Locations: Phoenix, Charlotte , North Carolina, Cleveland, Dallas, 2H23, Los Angeles, San Jose , California, Alaska, Financial of Ohio, National Bancorp of New Jersey

☆ US producer inflation muted; labor market still tight
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

That was the smallest year-on-year gain since August 2020 and followed a 0.9% increase in May. CORE INFLATION SLOWINGExcluding the volatile food and energy components, the so-called core goods prices fell 0.2% last month after climbing 0.1% in May. In the 12 months through June, the core PPI advanced 2.6%. That was the smallest year-on-year gain since February 2021 and followed a 2.8% increase in May. While inflation is slowing, the labor market remains tight.

Persons: Bill Adams, Jeffrey Roach, Christopher Rupkey, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Paul Simao Organizations: PPI, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Comerica Bank, Reuters, Financial, Services, Wholesale, Fed, Energy, LPL Financial, Treasury, CPI, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, U.S, Dallas, Charlotte , North Carolina, Stocks, New York

☆ Inflation fever is finally breaking. The Fed’s soft landing may be in sight
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

But I can’t help imagine him quietly fist-pumping the moment he got wind of the latest inflation data. For context, a year ago the CPI peaked at 9.1% — the worst inflation in more than 40 years. After a punishing stretch of rising prices, “the fever is breaking,” wrote Bill Adams, chief economist for Comerica Bank. In other words, the Fed may actually pull off the “soft landing” — lowering inflation without tanking the economy — that few believed was doable even six months ago. “The odds of achieving a soft landing just went up drastically,” Dan Alpert, managing director of Westwood Capital, told me.

Persons: CNN Business ’, Jerome Powell, he’d, Jay won’t, ”, Bill Adams, Jay Powell, “ We’ve, Lael Brainard, Joe Biden’s, “, Brainard, hadn’t, ” Dan Alpert, “ I’m, Jamie Dimon, you’ll Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Consumer, Comerica Bank, Fed, Westwood Capital, JPMorgan Chase Locations: New York

☆ The economy is doing exactly what we need to avoid a recession and keep booming
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-12 | by ( Noah Sheidlower | Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Recent data reveals inflation is cooling, the labor market is slowing, and a recession may not come after all. Inflation data released Wednesday showed that inflation is coming down fast. The Fed may be pleased by this data, though a rate hike may still be on the table later this month. Other measures also show that the job market is still very healthy. The Fed may be happy to see slower job growth and the prime-age labor force participation rate rising, Bunker said.

Persons: doesn't, Julia Pollak, Nick Bunker, Bunker, Jerome Powell, Bill Adams, Pollak, " Pollak, Powell Organizations: Service, Labor, Survey, North America, Federal, Consumer, CPI, National Federation of Independent Business, Congress, Fed, Comerica Bank, Comerica Locations: Wall, Silicon

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